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The Gypsy Economist: The Life and Times of Colin Clark

Author(s):Millmow, Alex
Reviewer(s):Darnell, Adrian

Published by EH.Net (April 2022).

Alex Millmow. The Gypsy Economist: The Life and Times of Colin Clark. Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan Press, 2021. xx + 396 pp. $119.99 (hardback), ISBN: 978-981-33-6945-0.

Reviewed for EH.Net by Adrian Darnell, Retired Professor of Economics, Durham University.

 

Colin Grant Clark was born in 1905; he was educated at Winchester College and Brasenose College, Oxford, from where he graduated in Chemistry in 1928. His interest in statistics and economics was born of studying statistics in his curriculum and having attended some of Lionel Robbins’ lectures extra curricula. Clark’s interest in economics was furthered at the Oxford Labour Club and then within the University Adam Smith Society, to which Clark’s greatest contributions were to illuminate theoretical discussions with voluminous statistics designed to bring the conversations ‘down to earth.’ Robbins introduced Clark to Hugh Dalton and later William Beveridge, for whom he worked as a research assistant at the London School of Economics in 1928–29; he then worked with Allyn Young and in 1929 left London for Liverpool, where he worked for Alexander Carr-Saunders. During this time he ran unsuccessful parliamentary campaigns as a Labour candidate in North Dorset (1929), and later at Liverpool Wavertree (1931) and South Norfolk (1935).

In 1930 he was (to his surprise, apparently) appointed as research assistant to the newly convened National Economic Advisory Council (NEAC). However, when Clark was invited by Ramsey MacDonald (an avowed protectionist) to write a case for protectionism Clark (who favoured devaluation and expansion of the domestic economy) chose to resign in 1931 rather than compromise his principles. Keynes, a member of the NEAC, having been impressed by Clark’s command of data, then secured him a lectureship in statistics at Cambridge.

In 1937 Clark accepted a position with the Queensland government and stayed in Australia in various government roles, all of which afforded him the opportunity to pursue his own research. In 1951 he took secondment to the Food and Agriculture Organization in Rome, and then to Chicago (1952), before taking the Directorship of the Agricultural Economics Research Institute at Oxford (1952–69). He returned to Australia in 1969 as the Director of the Institute of Economic Progress at Monash (1969–78) and finally he was a Research Consultant to the Department of Economics at the University of Queensland until his death in Brisbane in 1989. Today Clark is, perhaps, best known for his work on national income and development economics.

This biography is a most illuminating account of Clark and his work, the man and his times, and provides a comprehensive assessment of his many economic contributions. The picture painted is of a most stimulating and heterodox thinker, a man who had no formal training in economics or economic methodology, and a man who revelled in being annoying!

Clark was a prolific writer of books and academic and newspaper articles and a broadcaster whose work appears to have attracted both praise and criticism, not always in equal measure. The source of much criticism had two sources: his lack of training in the subject and a suspect methodology were often evident; and his later work, especially after his conversion to Roman Catholicism in 1940, seemed to some to rely (often implicitly) upon Catholic thought, as distinct from economic thought and evidence.

Clark’s methodological approach was clearly influenced by his chemistry studies, and his ‘scientific’ economics stressed ‘the careful systemisation of all observable facts, the framing of hypotheses from these facts, predictions of fresh conclusions on the basis of these hypotheses, and the testing of these conclusions against further observable facts’ (1940, p. vii). He expressly prioritised observation over theory: he praised Australian economists for their ‘respect for observed facts in preference to long chains of theoretical reasoning’ (1940, p. ix), but his lack of a theoretical framework and an overreliance on (not always robust) data was criticised. Clark believed ‘many of the laws of economics could be deduced from comparative observations rather than from an a priori position’ (p. 43), did not recognise that observations are always seen through a particular window of theory, and expressly relegated economic theory. His approach relied heavily on the quality of statistics, and his early work on national income sought, successfully, to provide good data. The National Income 1924-31 was a major work, developing the earlier work of Bowley and Stamp (1927); he brought quantitative flesh to Keynesian concepts and, for the first time, distinguished between national income and national product.

This work was well received but, like almost all his work it seems, it attracted criticism in at least equal measure. There is a recurring theme to the reception he generated: he was regularly criticised for sloppiness, poor methodology, and allowing unstated principles (notably Catholic principles) to influence his analysis. One example must suffice. Clark’s (1967) Population Growth and Land Use was described as ‘a source of pleasure, information and challenge’ (Spengler, 1968, p. 228, in Millmow p. 279) but the book’s controversy stemmed from the level of scholarship on the one hand and his views on birth control on the other. Davis (1968, p. 133) observed that ‘the tools of scholarship are casually handled with frequent omission of authors, dates or titles, occasional misspellings, ambiguous labelling of charts and tables, use of derived figures and unexplained inconsistencies, disregard of contrary arguments and evidence’ and concluded that ‘Clark’s reputation and his skill with words and numbers give his argument a halo of credibility that may mislead the untrained eye’ (in Millmow, p. 284). Davis further suggested that Clark had ‘massaged his data to fit his thesis.’

Clark was nominated several times for the Nobel prize yet was never successful (p. 7). Millmow, I think, has more than adequately answered the question ‘why not?’. Clark’s work lacked a firm theoretical foundation and he ‘took delight in entertaining perverse views’ (p. 4). He was never appointed a full professor of economics and chose not to pursue his pioneering early work on National Income Accounting, moving on to write in less prosaic areas of economics. That Clark was well known for holding and promulgating unorthodox views may also have been a factor, especially as Millmow’s biography leads the reader to conclude that he deliberately sought to annoy.

Two examples may suffice. First, in 1962, speaking to the theme of the problems of growth in the Australian economy he drew upon his ideas of the last 20 years and asserted that it took ‘Australia a long time to learn’, that Australia had foolishly ‘set out to manufacture everything’, ascribed Australia’s ‘mediocre growth’ to protectionism, low levels of education, low growth of the labour force, developing industry at the expense of agriculture, and especially an ‘aversion to competition’ and a dependency on ‘government to put things right’ (pp. 309-10). One discussant (Crawford, 1962, p. 30) observed ‘we have been given a typical Colin Clark production . . . bristling with comment calculated to irritate, very revealing of his own prejudices on many subjects, it is nonetheless full of shrewd insights and worthwhile provocations’ [my emphasis]. Not only were his comments designed to irritate, but this was typical.

As a second example, Clark spoke in a debate on abortion law reform in Sydney in 1972. On the other side of the debate was Germaine Greer. Clark remarked to Greer, “I don’t know what to call you: Miss Greer or Mrs?” to which she replied, “Call me Doctor” (cited in Wyndham, 2012, p. 359).

Here we have a splendid biography. Clark, the idiosyncratic polymath shines from every page, but the title is troubling. While Arnold’s The Scholar Gypsy may well have been Clark’s favourite poem (p. 11), since that poem’s subject is an Oxford scholar who gives up his academic life to join a band of Gypsies, absorbing their customs and seeking the source of their wisdom, the picture of Colin Clark painted by Millmow doesn’t quite fit. Clark never gave up academe and nor does he seem to have sought to absorb others’ customs nor seek their sources of wisdom: on the contrary, he comes across as more interested in having others absorb his ways of thinking and understand his wisdom.

References

Bowley, Arthur L., and Josiah Stamp. The National Income 1924. Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1927.

Clark, Colin G. The National Income 1924-31. London: Macmillan, 1932.

Clark, Colin G. The Conditions of Economic Progress. London: Macmillan, 1940.

Clark, Colin G. Population Growth and Land Use. London: Macmillan, 1967.

Crawford, John Grenfell. ‘Discussion.’ In John Wilkes (ed.), Economic Growth in Australia. Sydney: Angus & Robertson, 1962.

Davis, Kingsley. ‘Colin Clark and the benefits of an increase in population.’ Scientific American 218(4): 133-138 (1968).

Spengler, Joseph, J. ‘Review of Population Growth and Land Use by C. Clark.’ Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 380: 228 (1968).

Wyndham, Diana. Norman Haire and the Study of Sex. Sydney: Sydney University Press, 2012.

 

Adrian Darnell is Retired Professor of Economics at Durham University. He has published extensively on econometrics and its history.

Copyright (c) 2022 by EH.Net. All rights reserved. This work may be copied for non-profit educational uses if proper credit is given to the author and the list. For other permission, please contact the EH.Net Administrator (administrator@eh.net). Published by EH.Net (April 2022). All EH.Net reviews are archived at https://www.eh.net/book-reviews.

Subject(s):History of Economic Thought; Methodology
Geographic Area(s):General, International, or Comparative
Europe
Time Period(s):20th Century: Pre WWII
20th Century: WWII and post-WWII

A History of Australasian Economic Thought

Author(s):Millmow, Alex
Reviewer(s):Nevile, J.W.

Published by EH.Net (March 2018)

Alex Millmow, A History of Australasian Economic Thought. New York: Routledge, 2017. vii + 250 pp. $200 (hardback), ISBN: 978-1-138-86100-8.

Reviewed for EH.Net by J.W. Nevile, School of Economics, University of New South Wales.

 
This survey of Australasian economic thought from the mid-1920s to the end of the twentieth century focuses on the interaction between economic events and economic thought, with particular attention to the extent this relationship could, and did, influence economic policy. Chapters 2 to 4, which cover the period between the First and Second World Wars, are the most valuable in the book and will be the main focus of this review. In this period, the work of Australasian economists was widely admired in other English speaking countries. As Keynes commented: “Australia has given the rest of the world a lesson in accepting and positively carrying into effect advice which was experimental and unorthodox . . . yet not violent or revolutionary. . . . [E]conomists in the rest of the world are envious and proud of Australia’s economists who have not only been successful in getting their advice accepted but have shown, in the event, to have been lacking neither in practical wisdom nor in scientific insight” (quoted p. 81).

Chapter 2 describes the coming of age of the economics profession in Australasia. It starts with the establishment of faculties of commerce or, in some places, majors in economics in faculties of arts. These courses were popular with students. In Melbourne, the Faculty of Commerce started life with one department, one professor, one full-time lecturer and 323 students.

The chapter finishes with an account of the founding of the Economics Society of Australia and New Zealand in 1925. Douglas Copland, whose BA and MA were from New Zealand, was both the first President and the editor of the Society’s journal, the Economic Record, which had a bias towards applied economic research and was read by many businessmen.

When the University of Melbourne established a Faculty of Commerce in 1924 Copland was given a Chair and made Dean of the Faculty. Even more important was the appointment of L.F. Giblin to the newly established research chair in economics. Giblin, born in Tasmania in 1872, was a graduate of King’s College, Cambridge. In 1919, Giblin was appointed Tasmanian Government Statistician and was also an informal advisor to the State Premier on economics and statistics. Copland was delighted with Giblin’s appointment. He and Giblin made a formidable contribution to Australasian economics and economic policy for the rest of the interwar period and beyond.

Chapter 3 discusses the stream of developments in economic theory in the years 1926-1930. They include a controversial committee report and a number of path-breaking ideas by Giblin. In 1927, the Australian Prime Minister appointed a committee to quantify the benefits of Australian tariffs. Its academic members were Giblin, Copland and James Brigden, a New Zealander who had learned his economics from Edwin Cannan. The three professional economists all had divergent views on tariff theory and but were able to agree on a compromise document which was close to what Brigden had previously espoused but was sufficiently radical to cause a controversy which has lasted to this day.

The committee argued that tariffs were an effective way of maintaining a given standard of living for a larger population than otherwise would have been possible. This was because tariffs maintained real wages by redistributing rents from landowners to labor. Although he had reservations about the central thesis, Keynes praised the report as brilliant and original.

Giblin also developed theory about taxation in a federation, which covered both vertical and horizontal equity with most attention on the latter. Hence Giblin recommended the establishment of a body similar to the Tariff Board. As a result, in 1933 the Commonwealth Grants Commission was formed with Giblin as a member.
Giblin’s inaugural lecture after his appointment to the research chair at Melbourne University contained a theoretical bombshell. While in Tasmania Giblin had been researching the impact on employment of building a new railway, a project that was being considered by a federal agency. In analyzing flow-on effects, Giblin calculated an export multiplier and gave a draft to Brigden for comment. Brigden thought the analysis had important potential and pointed out that the lower the propensity to import, the greater the multiplier.

Chapter 4 outlines Australia’s response to the depression. In 1929 there was a substantial fall in the price of both wheat and wool exports to England which constrained Australia’s capacity to repay debt owed to England. In response, London closed its markets to Australian investors. This action caused an immediate retrenchment of thousands of workers with significant multiplier effects. The Australian response — to devalue the exchange rate, cut money wages and use Treasury Bill finance to cover budget deficits — was based on advice from a wide range of academic economists. The first official step was taken in January 1931 when the Commonwealth Arbitration Court reduced the basic wage by 10 percent. This followed action by the Chief Executive of the Bank of New South Wales who, on advice from his long-time advisor E. D. G. Shan, depreciated his bank’s exchange rate against the pound sterling by 25 percent. Other banks followed his lead, including the Commonwealth Bank, one part of which acted as Australia’s central bank.

While the response described in the previous paragraphs proceeded as planned, a political problem remained. Both federal and state parliaments had to be persuaded to continue to fund budget deficits. This problem came to a head in May 1931 when the Senate refused to pass the Commonwealth government’s budget. A working group chaired by Copland was established and given the task of finding a solution within a few weeks. The result was the Premiers’ Plan. Its main features were a 20 percent cut in government expenditure, including public service salaries, a 22.5 percent reduction in the interest paid on government bonds held by Australians, increases in federal and state taxes and a reduction in bank interest rates.

After chapters on how Keynes’1936 book came to Australasia and the role of economic theory in war and reconstruction, the remaining chapters cover the period from 1950 to 2000.

Chapter 7 covers the 1950s. The section on growth theory is somewhat disappointing. Trevor Swan’s preeminence is acknowledged, but little space is given to saying why this is so. Swan’s 1956 model is discussed as a version of what Solow sets out in his growth model, reflecting the way many Australian economists use the term Solow/Swan model. However, the main thrust of Swan’s model is explicitly about growth, or rather lack of it, in a Ricardian world, though it is true that the production function used throughout has a neoclassical form. As Swan remarks wryly, his paper contains the neoclassical as well as the Ricardian vice.

In conclusion, just as in the 1920s and 1930s, in the years 1950 to 2000 academic economists in Australia had many formal and informal advisory relationships with economic policy makers. Moreover, as in the earlier period, they thought this more important, and enjoyed it more, than refining theoretical analysis.

 
John Nevile’s numerous publications include “Dynamic Keynesian Economics: Cycling Forward with Harrod and Kalecki,” Cambridge Journal of Economics (with P. Kriesler).

Copyright (c) 2018 by EH.Net. All rights reserved. This work may be copied for non-profit educational uses if proper credit is given to the author and the list. For other permission, please contact the EH.Net Administrator (administrator@eh.net). Published by EH.Net (March 2018). All EH.Net reviews are archived at http://www.eh.net/BookReview.

Subject(s):History of Economic Thought; Methodology
Geographic Area(s):Australia/New Zealand, incl. Pacific Islands
Time Period(s):20th Century: Pre WWII
20th Century: WWII and post-WWII