EH.Net Mailing List Archive: EHB

----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- 
The topic seems a game with the numbers (as many times happened with the 
statistical data). 
Please note, the life expectancy (at any age) does not means how many years 
will live the newborn, or anyone in the specific ages, but how many years 
would be live the given (statistical) person IF THE CURRENT MORTALITY DATA 
would remain the same as at the moment of analysis. With other wording: the 
life expectancy characterizes the current mortality situation ONLY! 
 
So according to my opinion the life expectancy data disable show neither 
the real duration of life of any individual, nor the average duration of 
life of a given population. 
 
Regards, 
 
Tamas Angelus 
 
At 08:21 2004.03.29._-0500, you wrote: 
>----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- 
>Does anyone have a good answer for this question? 
> 
> 
>-----Urspr=FCngliche Nachricht----- 
>Von: Molinari, Luciano [mailto:Luciano.Molinari at kispi.unizh.ch] 
>Gesendet: Montag, 29. M=E4rz 2004 14:49 
>An: 'John Komlos' 
>Betreff: Are we getting older? 
> 
> 
>Dear John, 
> 
>Has the proportion of older people been increasing in recent years. Well,= 
 of 
>course it has, I guess. But can we go a little farther? 
>Is my life expectation after 60 (that is assuming that I am alive at 60, 
>which is exactly my case) higher than it was a hundred years ago? or for my 
>parents? And what about the life expectation after 80 or 90? 
> 
>Or perhaps even more subtle: has the life expectation of very old HEALTHY 
>people, been increasing in the recent past? Of course many, most, people= 
 die 
>for some specific medical reason, but what about the others? 
>Does the question make sense? What is your opinion? Are you aware of some 
>recent paper on this topic? 
>And where could one find suitable data to study the problem? 
> 
>Best regards, 
>Luciano 
> 
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