From angelust at westel900.net Thu Apr 1 08:50:47 2004 From: angelust at westel900.net (Tamas Angelus) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: WG: Are we getting older? Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- The topic seems a game with the numbers (as many times happened with the statistical data). Please note, the life expectancy (at any age) does not means how many years will live the newborn, or anyone in the specific ages, but how many years would be live the given (statistical) person IF THE CURRENT MORTALITY DATA would remain the same as at the moment of analysis. With other wording: the life expectancy characterizes the current mortality situation ONLY! So according to my opinion the life expectancy data disable show neither the real duration of life of any individual, nor the average duration of life of a given population. Regards, Tamas Angelus At 08:21 2004.03.29._-0500, you wrote: >----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- >Does anyone have a good answer for this question? > > >-----Urspr=FCngliche Nachricht----- >Von: Molinari, Luciano [mailto:Luciano.Molinari@kispi.unizh.ch] >Gesendet: Montag, 29. M=E4rz 2004 14:49 >An: 'John Komlos' >Betreff: Are we getting older? > > >Dear John, > >Has the proportion of older people been increasing in recent years. Well,= of >course it has, I guess. But can we go a little farther? >Is my life expectation after 60 (that is assuming that I am alive at 60, >which is exactly my case) higher than it was a hundred years ago? or for my >parents? And what about the life expectation after 80 or 90? > >Or perhaps even more subtle: has the life expectation of very old HEALTHY >people, been increasing in the recent past? Of course many, most, people= die >for some specific medical reason, but what about the others? >Does the question make sense? What is your opinion? Are you aware of some >recent paper on this topic? >And where could one find suitable data to study the problem? > >Best regards, >Luciano > >------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ >For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. From AroraS at strsoh.org Fri Apr 2 04:31:36 2004 From: AroraS at strsoh.org (Arora, Suchit) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: Are we getting older? By how much? Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- I agree with Tamas Angelus' message on life expectancy. There is more to it though: It is unsafe to infer length of life spans from Period -life tables. They essentially reflect age-specific death rates for a particular year (period). However, people have ended up living much longer than the years indicated by period-life tables. (Terms such as "expect," "expectation" and "expectancy," fog things up further). My understanding is that most governments/actuaries use period-life tables; they might be underestimating life spans. One could get reasonable estimates on life spans from cohort-life tables, however. They track each birth cohort until all members are dead. Unfortunately, as long as there are 95-year-olds alive today, the 1910 cohort life table is still incomplete. To appreciate the difference between cohort- and period-life expectancy, try data from the Human Mortality Database. For example, until about 1870 in England and Wales (and about 1850s in Sweden), cohort-life expectancy and period-life expectancy at various ages, especially early ages (birth, 5, 10, 15, 20), were quite similar. For example, for the year 1800, if period life expectancy at age 10 was poor, then for the cohort born during that year, cohort-life expectancy at age 10 (which is based on data over the next ten years) was just as bad. Poor underlying health-related conditions likely persisted. After about 1870, cohort-life expectancy has differed systematically from period-life expectancy. For example, for the cohort born in the year 1900, cohort-life expectancy at age 10 was much larger than period-life expectancy at age 10 (which reflected conditions during the year 1900 but not afterward). I do not have accurate numbers right now; I think the difference was about 5-6 years then. And if we are willing to assume that things have improved subsequently, difference between period- and cohort-life expectancy has likely widened, substantially, at each age. To find out if people are living longer and the amount by which they are doing so, one could calculate the difference between cohort life expectancy at age 20 for various birth cohorts. Doing so brings the information to about 1983 (as the 1983 birth-cohort would have turned 20 in the year 2003). Then, given the likely advances in medical technology and given that better-nourished cohorts have yet to reach age 65, use that difference as a lower bound for any future projection. (Readers, please correct me if I am interpreting things incorrectly). Other than that, we are all in the dark about the amount by which human life span is increasing every year, particularly at ages 65 and above. All we know is that death rates of the oldest of the old is declining rapidly (Vaupel, Fogel, Costa). Numbers from today's period-life tables might prove to be quite misleading. Suchit Arora aroras@strsoh.org ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. From AroraS at strsoh.org Mon Apr 5 04:35:06 2004 From: AroraS at strsoh.org (Arora, Suchit) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: Are we getting older? By how much? Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- The following Table shows the average of the annual difference between cohort-life expectancy and period-life expectancy at age 15 for Sweden. For example, if in 1800, at age 15, period-life expectancy was 40, and when the 1800 birth cohort reached age 15, the cohort-life expectancy was 45, then the difference is 5 years. The data are from the Human Mortality Database, calculations mine. Cohort-LE less Period-LE Years ---------- ------ 1751-1760 -1.736 1761-1770 -0.527 1771-1780 1.034 1781-1790 1.169 1791-1800 -0.261 1801-1810 4.007 1811-1820 4.458 1821-1830 4.923 1831-1840 6.491 1841-1850 5.355 1851-1860 6.219 1861-1870 4.83 1871-1880 4.202 1881-1890 3.719 1891-1900 5.15 1901-1910 7.4 For 15-year-olds, the discrepancy turned positive early in the 19th century. The difference trended upward during the first half of the century. The increments then remained roughly constant or diminished. The upward trend in the discrepancy resumes toward the end of the 19th century. Over the long haul in the 20th century, this gap is likely to have widened further as period-death rates diminished further. (As long as period-death rates are falling across age-groups (or are expected to fall), period-life expectancy is likely to under-estimate cohort-life expectancy.) Also, in my previous message I had suggested that one could take the difference between cohort-life expectancy and period-life expectancy at age 20 to ascertain the rate at which life spans are increasing across cohorts. Further, I suggested that one could use up to the 1983 cohort-life table to do so. However, that is incorrect. Since calculation of life expectancy at a particular age, say 20, uses information on all ages above 20, the cohort-life table for the cohort born in 1980 cannot have been completed. We really are in the dark on the issue of life spans, if only because not enough time has elapsed for the calculations to be made. But there must be some other way of finding out. Can a demographer please shed light on this matter? Is it possible to use reasonable assumptions and methods (based on truncated samples, I suppose) to extend cohort-life tables to the 1980s? Or are their any reasonable covariates of cohort-life expectancy that might shed light on it plausible trend since the early 20th century? Suchit Arora aroras@strsoh.org -----Original Message----- From: Arora, Suchit [ mailto:AroraS@strsoh.org ] Sent: Friday, April 02, 2004 4:32 AM To: EHB@eh.net Subject: EHB: Are we getting older? By how much? ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- I agree with Tamas Angelus' message on life expectancy. There is more to it though: It is unsafe to infer length of life spans from Period -life tables. They essentially reflect age-specific death rates for a particular year (period). However, people have ended up living much longer than the years indicated by period-life tables. (Terms such as "expect," "expectation" and "expectancy," fog things up further). My understanding is that most governments/actuaries use period-life tables; they might be underestimating life spans. One could get reasonable estimates on life spans from cohort-life tables, however. They track each birth cohort until all members are dead. Unfortunately, as long as there are 95-year-olds alive today, the 1910 cohort life table is still incomplete. To appreciate the difference between cohort- and period-life expectancy, try data from the Human Mortality Database. For example, until about 1870 in England and Wales (and about 1850s in Sweden), cohort-life expectancy and period-life expectancy at various ages, especially early ages (birth, 5, 10, 15, 20), were quite similar. For example, for the year 1800, if period life expectancy at age 10 was poor, then for the cohort born during that year, cohort-life expectancy at age 10 (which is based on data over the next ten years) was just as bad. Poor underlying health-related conditions likely persisted. After about 1870, cohort-life expectancy has differed systematically from period-life expectancy. For example, for the cohort born in the year 1900, cohort-life expectancy at age 10 was much larger than period-life expectancy at age 10 (which reflected conditions during the year 1900 but not afterward). I do not have accurate numbers right now; I think the difference was about 5-6 years then. And if we are willing to assume that things have improved subsequently, difference between period- and cohort-life expectancy has likely widened, substantially, at each age. To find out if people are living longer and the amount by which they are doing so, one could calculate the difference between cohort life expectancy at age 20 for various birth cohorts. Doing so brings the information to about 1983 (as the 1983 birth-cohort would have turned 20 in the year 2003). Then, given the likely advances in medical technology and given that better-nourished cohorts have yet to reach age 65, use that difference as a lower bound for any future projection. (Readers, please correct me if I am interpreting things incorrectly). Other than that, we are all in the dark about the amount by which human life span is increasing every year, particularly at ages 65 and above. All we know is that death rates of the oldest of the old is declining rapidly (Vaupel, Fogel, Costa). Numbers from today's period-life tables might prove to be quite misleading. Suchit Arora aroras@strsoh.org ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. From John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de Mon Apr 5 04:37:11 2004 From: John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de (John Komlos) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: Job opening as research/teaching assistant Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- There is a position open at my Lehrstuhl. I would appreciate it greatly if you would be kind enough to pass this information onto anyone who might be interested in applying for it (half or full position, depending upon qualifications). Knowledge of (and experience with) empirical methods, fairly good grades, and willingness to work in new research areas are prerequisites. Those who already have an advanced degree are also encouraged to apply. Thank you in advance. Sincerely, John Komlos ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. From John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de Wed Apr 7 11:16:36 2004 From: John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de (John Komlos) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: Radio program on The Height Gap on National Public Radio Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- ------------------------ The Height Gap The science and history of sizing up a nation, inch by inch. Why people in certain countries stand taller now than ever, and why the average American suddenly doesn't measure up. Visit The Connection website at: http://www.theconnection.org/shows/2004/04/20040405_b_main.asp ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. From John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de Thu Apr 8 09:18:21 2004 From: John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de (John Komlos) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: Seekeing experts Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- Does anyone know of someone who has worked on seasonal variation in obesity? Would appreciate some suggestions. Thank you in advance. Sincerely, John Komlos SUBSCRIBE TO Economics and Human Biology: http://www.elsevier.com/homepage/sae/econworld/econbase/ehb/frame.htm See the The New Yorker, April 5 - for article on height http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?040405fa_fact ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. From John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de Tue Apr 13 03:56:57 2004 From: John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de (John Komlos) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: "Equality of What? Evidence from India" Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- "Equality of What? Evidence from India" BY: DAVID E. SAHN Cornell University - Department of Economics Document: Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection: http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=480218 Other Electronic Document Delivery: http://www.cfnpp.cornell.edu/images/wp156.pdf SSRN only offers technical support for papers downloaded from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection location. When URLs wrap, you must copy and paste them into your browser eliminating all spaces. Paper ID: Cornell Food and Nutrition Policy Program Working Paper No. 156 Date: November 2003 Contact: DAVID E. SAHN Email: Mailto:David.Sahn@Cornell.edu Postal: Cornell University - Department of Economics Div. of Nutrition, Food & Nutrition Policy Program 3M12 MVR Hall Ithaca, NY 14853 UNITED STATES Phone: 607-255-8093 Fax: 607-255-0178 Paper Requests: Contact Philip Neuwirth, Program Manager, Cornell Food and Nutrition Policy Program, at Mailto:pgn1@cornell.edu or Postal: Cornell University, Cornell Food and Nutrition Policy Program, 3M12 MVR Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA. Phone: 607-255-8093, Fax: 607-255-0178. ABSTRACT: This paper explores univariate health inequality in India using a representative sample of pre-school age children. I make comparisons, both spatially between states, and inter-temporally, to both illustrate the methods for measuring and decomposing health inequality, while providing some interesting empirical findings on health inequality. The results suggest that the changes in the distribution of height are less important than the changes in the mean values, when explaining the evolution of the nutrition poverty index over time in India. However, I also observe that the level of stunted growth would be reduced markedly among the various Indian states if the distribution of heights corresponded to the pattern that exists in Kerala, where health of children is relatively equally distributed. In addition, I compare the health inequality results to income inequality figures reported elsewhere, and find no correlation. JEL Classification: D63, I12, O15 ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net. From John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de Mon Apr 19 04:32:39 2004 From: John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de (John Komlos) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: WG: Contents Alert Economics, 16 April 2004 Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- Contents Alert Economics -----Urspr=FCngliche Nachricht----- Von: Economics [mailto:economics@elsevier-alerts.com] Gesendet: Freitag, 16. April 2004 10:40 An: jk@econhist.de Betreff: Contents Alert Economics, 16 April 2004 Issue 2004 / 24 This message contains information on the most recently published papers in the following journals. Full-text available for subscribers through the abstrac= t link.Web-editions access through link provided. ANNOUNCEMENTS IN ECONOMICS Agricultural Economics: 30/2 Economics & Human Biology: 2/1 Finance Research Letters: 1/1 Research Policy: 33/3 Structural Change and Economic Dynamics: 15/1 ANNOUNCEMENTS IN ECONOMICS Call for Papers: Click here for all Economics Publishing Opportunities CALL FOR PAPERS Special Issue of Economics and Human Biology on Height, Weight and Life Expectancy The effect of anthropometric indicators on mortal= ity - Click here for details - Agricultural Economics Volume 30/2, published March, 2004 [Web-Editions] Publishers Note, p. 87 Full text via ScienceDirect Public investment and regional inequality in rura= l China Zhang X. and Fan S., p. 89 Full text via ScienceDirect Investment and equity effects of land regularisation: the case of Nicaragua*1 Deininger K. and Chamorro J.S., p. 101 Full text via ScienceDirect Factors affecting entry and intensity in informal rental land markets in Southern Ethiopian highlands Teklu T. and Lemi A., p. 117 Full text via ScienceDirect Short-term employment transitions of the Canadian labour force: rural-urban differences in underemployment Vera-Toscano E., Phimister E. and Weersink A., p. 129 Full text via ScienceDirect The economic benefits of rabbit control in Australian temperate pastures by the introduction of rabbit haemorrhagic disease Vere D.T., Jones R.E. and Saunders G., p. 143 Full text via ScienceDirect The impact of seed industry concentration on innovation: a study of US biotech market leaders Schimmelpfennig D.E., Pray C.E. and Brennan M.F.,= p. 157 Full text via ScienceDirect Agri-culture: Reconnecting People, Land and Natur= e: Jules Pretty (Ed.), Earthscan, London, 2002, 261 pages, paperback, [UK pound] 14.95, ISBN 1-85383-925-6 Cato M.S., p. 169 Full text via ScienceDirect World Health Report 2002: Reducing Risks, Promoti= ng Healthy Life: World Health Organization, Geneva, 2002, 250 pages, US$ 13.= 50, ISBN 9-2415-6207-2 Mutangadura G.B., p. 170 Full text via ScienceDirect FAO Papers on Selected Issues Related to the WTO Negotiations on Agriculture: UN Food and Agriculture Organization, Rome, 2002, 286 pages, US$ 20, TC/D/Y3733/E Haniotis T., p. 172 Full text via ScienceDirect Editorial Board, p. CO2 Full text via ScienceDirect Economics & Human Biology Volume 2/1, published March, 2004 [Web-Editions] Editor's note, Komlos J., p. 1 Full text via ScienceDirect A restricted maximum likelihood estimator for truncated height samples A'Hearn B., p. 5 Full text via ScienceDirect Macro shocks and micro outcomes: child nutrition during Indonesia's crisis Block S.A., Kiess L., Webb P., Kosen S., Moench-Pfanner R., Bloem M.W. and Peter Timmer C., p. 21 Full text via ScienceDirect Observations on the history of Dutch physical stature from the late-Middle Ages to the present de Beer H., p. 45 Full text via ScienceDirect From the tallest to (one of) the fattest: the enigmatic fate of the American population in the 20th century Komlos J. and Baur M., p. 57 Full text via ScienceDirect The height of Tennessee convicts: another piece o= f the "antebellum puzzle" Sunder M., p. 75 Full text via ScienceDirect Socio-economic transition, inequality, and mortal= ity in Lithuania Kalediene R. and Petrauskiene J., p. 87 Full text via ScienceDirect The effect of the economic transition on the body mass index of conscripts in Poland Koziel S., Welon Z., Bielicki T., Szklarska A. an= d Ulijaszek S., p. 97 Full text via ScienceDirect Social inequality and obesity in Czech school children Vignerova J., Blaha P., Osancova K. and Roth Z., = p. 107 Full text via ScienceDirect On the incidence of diarrhoea among young Indian children Borooah V.K., p. 119 Full text via ScienceDirect Infant feeding practices and chronic child malnutrition in the Indian states of Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh Brennan L., McDonald J. and Shlomowitz R., p. 139 Full text via ScienceDirect Editorial Board, p. 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CO2 Full text via ScienceDirect Research Policy Volume 33/3, published April, 2004 [Web-Editions] R&D co-operation and innovation a microeconometri= c study on French firms Negassi S., p. 365 Full text via ScienceDirect Leveraging technological externalities in complex technologies: Microsoft's exploitation of standards in the browser wars Windrum P., p. 385 Full text via ScienceDirect The reconfiguration of National Innovation Systems--the example of German biotechnology Kaiser R. and Prange H., p. 395 Full text via ScienceDirect Does innovativeness matter for international competitiveness in developing countries?: The case of Turkish manufacturi= ng industries Ozcelik E. and Taymaz E., p. 409 Full text via ScienceDirect Combining entrepreneurial and scientific performa= nce in academia: towards a compounded and reciprocal Matthew-effect? Van Looy B., Ranga M., Callaert J., Debackere K. = and Zimmermann E., p. 425 Full text via ScienceDirect Institutionalized biases in the award of research grants: a preliminary analysis revisiting the principle of accumulative advantage Viner N., Powell P. and Green R., p. 443 Full text via ScienceDirect The market economy, and the scientific commons Nelson R.R., p. 455 Full text via ScienceDirect How much difference is there between industrial district firms? A net value creation approach Molina-Morales F.X. and Martinez-Fernandez M.T., = p. 473 Full text via ScienceDirect An ex ante evaluation framework for the regional benefits of publicly supported R&D projects Roper S., Hewitt-Dundas N. and Love J.H., p. 487 Full text via ScienceDirect Historical evolution of technological diversification Cantwell J. and Vertova G., p. 511 Full text via ScienceDirect Technological diversity of persistent innovators = in Japan: Two case studies of large Japanese firms Suzuki J. and Kodama F., p. 531 Full text via ScienceDirect Identifying innovation in surveys of services: a Schumpeterian perspective Drejer I., p. 551 Full text via ScienceDirect National Competitiveness and Economic Growth: The Changing Determinants of Economic Performance in the World Economy: Tino = J. Hamalainen, Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, UK, 2003, 380 pp., [UK pound]79.95, ISBN 1-84064-454-0 Jochem E., p. 563 Full text via ScienceDirect Inside front cover- Editorial Board, p. CO2 Full text via ScienceDirect Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Volume 15/1, published March, 2004 [Web-Editions] Special Issue: The Macroeconomics of Accession: Growth, Convergence and Structural Adjustment - Edited by: H. Hagemann The macroeconomics of accession: growth, converge= nce and structural adjustment Hagemann H., p. 1 Full text via ScienceDirect Accession trajectories and convergence: endogenou= s growth perspective Kejak M., Seiter S. and Vavra D., p. 13 Full text via ScienceDirect Benchmarking structural change in transition*1 Raiser M., Schaffer M. and Schuchhardt J., p. 47 Full text via ScienceDirect Real exchange rate dynamics in transition economi= es Coricelli F. and Jazbec B., p. 83 Full text via ScienceDirect Long-term growth prospects in transition economie= s: a reappraisal Crafts N. and Kaiser K., p. 101 Full text via ScienceDirect Editorial Board, p. CO2 Full text via ScienceDirect CONTENTS ALERT ECONOMICS, Elsevier 2004 This e-mail has been sent to you by Elsevier B.V., Sara Burgerhartstraat 25, 1055 KV Amsterdam, The Netherlands. To ensure delivery to your inbox (not bulk or junk folders), please add economics@elsevier-alerts.com to your address book. 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From John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de Fri Apr 23 09:04:47 2004 From: John.Komlos at econhist.vwl.uni-muenchen.de (John Komlos) Date: Wed Nov 16 18:04:32 2005 Subject: EHB: Interesting Workshop 14 May on Living Standards Message-ID: ----------------- EHB POSTING ----------------- http://www.eco.rug.nl/~jacobs/workshopMay04.html ------------ FOOTER TO EHB POSTING ------------ For information, send the message "info EHB" to lists@eh.net.