Schenk on Cassis,
_Capitals of Capital: A History of International Financial Centres,
1780-2005_
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eh.net-review at eh.net
Mon Oct 22 05:42:38 EDT 2007
Published by EH.NET (October 2007)
Youssef Cassis, _Capitals of Capital: A History of International
Financial Centres, 1780-2005_. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,
2007. xiv + 385 pp. $40 (cloth), ISBN: 978-0-521-84535-9.
Reviewed for EH.NET by Catherine R. Schenk, Department of Economic
and Social History, University of Glasgow.
Given the recent international transmission of the U.S. sub-prime
loan crisis, it is a particularly appropriate moment to consider the
long-term development of financial markets and the growth of
international capital. Pictet & Cie, itself a venerable private
bank, commissioned Youssef Cassis, Professor of Economic and Social
History at the University of Geneva, to write a history of
international financial centers (IFCs) to mark its bicentennial, and
they have certainly generated a fine monument to commemorate their
anniversary. This is a truly scholarly work of synthesis drawing on
an impressively comprehensive bibliography and with a helpful
glossary included.
Beginning with the rise of private banks in the eighteenth century
and concluding with the financial conglomerates and hedge funds of
the early twenty-first century, Cassis has produced a comprehensive
overview of the developments of the main centers of capital: London
and New York, Amsterdam, Paris, Brussels, Zurich, Frankfurt and
Tokyo. His account shows how these centers were buffeted by
political crisis and military conflict but proved resilient through
innovation and specialization. The structure is strictly
chronological, although themes of rivalry and competition, regulation
and innovation emerge. Changes in the financial architecture are
traced throughout as private banks gave way to joint stock banks, and
stock markets matured and became international. The concentration of
capital at the end of the nineteenth century, described in the first
part of the book, is echoed near the end of the book by the mergers
and acquisition wave of the 1980s and 1990s, which saw a return to
the scale and breadth of global financial activity that had occurred
a century earlier. Nevertheless, Cassis is skeptical of the
comparison of the 'new' globalization of the 1980s with the first era
of globalization given the technological and scale differences
between the two periods, and he seeks merely to position the
integration and growth of financial markets that has occurred in the
last 25 years in its historical context.
The most detailed descriptions are devoted to the three chapters that
draw out the decline of Amsterdam and the rivalry between London and
Paris from the early nineteenth century to 1914. The years of crisis
from the beginning of the First World War to the end of the Second
World War are treated together in a single chapter. Along with the
description of the changing fortunes of European centers, this period
sees the rise of New York as a major player with very different
characteristics than its European rivals. One chapter covers the
recovery of markets from the war and the subsequent financial
innovation (in the form of the Eurodollar market) that transformed
the nature of business done by IFCs in the 1970s. The final
substantive chapter takes the story from 1980 to 2005. In common
with all histories that seek to cover such a broad time period there
is a sense that later decades get rather short-changed, but that is
the nature of this kind of project.
The final chapter draws conclusions from the long historical
perspective on why IFCs emerge and prosper. There is a range of
features that seem to promote the establishment of IFCs, including
political security and a strong currency, but Cassis admits that his
account of the historical record shows that no combination is either
necessary or sufficient. He moves between centers that were
important mainly because of large domestic markets that make for
large banks and transaction volumes (New York and Tokyo) and those
that operated more as financial services entrepots (Zurich and
post-1950 London) but concludes that his research has shown that
being a world economic leader is (usually) an important underlying
cause of the rise of IFCs. Will all large economies eventually
generate an IFC, and if so what does this suggest about Shanghai, for
example? Other long-term factors include wars (which dent but do not
necessarily end IFCs) and openness to migrant skilled workers. He
concludes that state intervention "rarely determines the destinies of
IFCs in a lasting or fundamental way" and controversially argues that
regulation is more a consequence of how an IFC develops than a cause.
He concludes that most regulatory interventions did not profoundly
change the outcome of the hierarchy of IFCs. Supporters of Shanghai
as an IFC of the future will take comfort from this argument that
size of the domestic economy rather than regulation or strength of
the national currency are the most important long-term drivers of
IFCs.
Cassis has not quite escaped the challenges of identifying,
classifying and ranking IFCs, although one of the themes of the book
is shifting rivalries. He dodges the tricky question of how to rank
IFCs by using various measures at various times; including size of
national banks, employment, and value of foreign issues. Each of
these measures reflects different attributes of international
financial activity but none allows a comprehensive comparative
approach given the different ranges of activity in each center.
Moreover, these measures become less useful with globalization once a
product may involve activity in several centers, and as innovation
changes the labor requirements and some operations are outsourced.
Nevertheless, the breadth, scope and detail of the study must
recommend it to scholars and students seeking an overview of the
development of international financial and banking markets over the
past two hundred years.
Catherine Schenk is Professor of International Economic History at
the University of Glasgow. She is the author of _Hong Kong as an
International Financial Centre; Emergence and Development_
(Routledge, 2001). Her most recent project examines the exchange
rate regime choices of a range of developing economies in the early
1970s.
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