Hulten on Mom,
_The Electric Vehicle: Technology and Expectations in the
Automobile Age_
eh.net-review at eh.net
eh.net-review at eh.net
Thu Mar 1 08:52:41 EST 2007
Published by EH.NET (March 2007)
Gijs Mom, _The Electric Vehicle: Technology and Expectations in the
Automobile Age_. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2004.
xiii + 423 pp. $55 (hardcover), ISBN: 0-8018-7138-2.
Reviewed for EH.NET by Staffan Hultén, Department of Marketing and
Strategy, Stockholm School of Economics.
The early history of the automobile and the battle between electric,
steam-powered and gasoline cars has resulted in numerous interesting
and thought-provoking articles and books. Among this research have
been impressive case studies -- for example, Schallenberg's book on
the evolution of battery technology, Kirsch's thesis on the electric
car and Scharff's book on gender and the early evolution of the car
-- of how social and economic factors intervene in the technological
selection process. Another type of research has been much more
speculative. We have on the one hand the often repeated claim by
Arthur that steam power, and maybe even electric power, could have
become the dominating power source for the automobile and on the
other hand Leibowitz and Margolis's total rejection of such a
possibility. Gijs Mom's book, _The Electric Vehicle: Technology and
Expectations in the Automobile Age_, is an impressive empirical study
that helps resolve this debate.
The author has brought together a hitherto unknown collection of
cases of electric vehicle usage from 1881 to 1925 and he also gives a
sketchy overview of the subsequent evolution of electric cars to the
1970s. Reading the book, I was struck with how many chances and how
much support the electric vehicles got over time. There occurred, in
all probability, not a selection failure as suggested by Kirsch on
EH.Net in 1996: "The failure of the EVC, I argue, was not
pre-ordained by its choice of technology. Rather ... it MIGHT HAVE
SUCCEEDED under different circumstances, and if it had, it might have
enrolled a host of other supporting institutions (electric utilities,
the insurance underwriters, fleet vehicles owners, battery exchange
providers [in place of gas stations], etc.)." Mom's study shows that
more than one actor tried to remedy a perceived malfunctioning market
process and give electric power preferential treatment. In addition
to the fairly well-known premature investments in electric taxi-cab
fleets at the end of the nineteenth century in the U.S., Mom adds
example after example where electric cars were given unfair
advantages by local authorities. In German cities like Bremen and
Hamburg gasoline taxicabs were banned by local authorities around
1910 to the benefit of electric taxicabs. In Berlin a prospective
gasoline taxicab owner had in 1911 to hand in ten horse-cab licenses
while a few years later a license for an electric taxicab only
demanded two horse-cab licenses.
Mom's book is not an easy read. It is packed with too much detail
brought together in an implicit unfolding story, that when it ends
leaves more questions than answers. One example is Mom's treatment of
the development of the taxicab market in Chapter 4. He presents
different case studies with different levels of analysis and
different types of data -- in Paris he presents the evolution of the
whole market, in Bremen and Hamburg stories about taxicab firms and
in Holland detailed statistical data about revenues and daily route
length -- which makes it extremely difficult to compare the material.
It comes as no surprise that his conclusions from the chapter are
vague, general and not argued before. Take, for example, the
conclusion on page 172: "Why then could the electric car not extend
its position (Berlin) or maintain it (Bremen, Hamburg and Amsterdam)?
Was it not the ideal 'crisis car' and was it not cheaper to maintain
in a large fleet than a gasoline cab? The conclusion can only be that
the gasoline cab had an important _extra function_, which widened its
potential field of application considerably: that of the (paid)
touring trip outside the city as well as the higher speed that
accompanied it." The touring idea is not detailed city by city in the
chapter. We have no idea based on the material if this was the reason
for the electric cab failure. The hint that electrics were cheaper is
far from conclusive and my impression is that the author uses
different yardsticks when comparing electric with gasoline taxicabs.
He notes that you "only" got 260 effective days of operation with a
gasoline car (p. 140), but when the electric cabs reached 213
operating days per car in 1907 "nothing seemed to stand in the way of
a functional taxicab fleet" (p. 145). My guess would be that simple
economics and good management preferred "only" 260 days before an
increase to 213 days. Another quirky thing in this chapter is the
launch of an extremely powerful conclusion without any empirical
support before the chapter starts: "Largely neglected by automotive
historiography, it was under the guise of the taxicab that gasoline
engine propulsion entered into the urban application field and it was
in this field that the gasoline vehicle learned to become 'civilized'
and throw off its image of unreliability" (p. 131). This may be true
but nothing in the chapter casts light on why this is the case. No
comparative data of different modes of gasoline car use is analyzed,
and no material on different gasoline cars is presented. It may be
the case that "automotive historiography" has neglected this, but it
shares this neglect with Mom himself. To pretend to know is not the
same as to know.
Maybe it is Mom's appetite for empirical knowledge that accounts for
errors like the above, but this fault is at the same time one of the
merits of the book. I mentioned earlier his documentation of seldom
treated case material. In Chapter 5 and 6 he documents skillfully how
electric motors were used in commercial vehicles and trucks. Electric
buses were well diffused in Europe, often using a contact wire. To
this case Mom adds numerous others and in particular the German
experience with electric fire engines. The electric propulsion of
these vehicles too a high extent depended on the entrepreneurial fire
chief Maximilian Reichel. Here the story ends with the First World
War, and the advantages of gasoline engines over electric motors on
the battle field.
Mom concludes with two appendices (one is a note on method) that
outline a theoretical framework. This is an unusual way of knowledge
construction, as this section makes explicit what has been implicit
in the analysis in the different cases. More interesting is his
speculative epilogue that looks at different possible "failure
factors": socio-cultural or gender, the battery (and the tire),
infrastructure, and competing technologies. For reasons not clarified
in the text, the discussion of the failure factors builds on new
material and speculations.
On the question of socio-cultural aspects he agrees with Schiffer and
Scharff on gender and cars, claiming that "both approaches contain
elements that match the conclusions of this study" (p. 278),
Regardless of this he takes issue with them and belittles their
research. "Added to the complete lack of data, these shortcomings
have led to highly speculative analyses that easily assume the
character of a religious dispute" (ibid). To prove his point, he
presents some new anecdotal evidence, a necessity since this hasn't
been treated in the book. For example an advertisement entitled "The
Gentleman's Town Car" is pretended to support the claim that: "Too
late did the electric industry realize its pitfalls of focusing on
women as a marketing strategy" (p. 283).
The battery and the tire problems draw extensively on material
presented earlier in the book. In the treatment of these factors Mom
wants both to accept them as failure factors and reject them as
failure factors. The limited range which blocked touring -- critical
according to himself in the success of the gasoline taxicab -- is no
longer critical because: "... the decisive battle was fought in the
city, on territory where the advantages of electric propulsion were
undeniable." He also notes that when gasoline cars were forbidden to
compete electric cars flourished (p. 285-86). Such thought processes
certainly pave the way for another explanation. "So, if the
second-generation battery has indeed contributed to the 'failure' of
the electric car, ... it was due to its antimachine character, which
did not fit in the dominant technical culture and certainly not in
the emerging culture of the gasoline car" (p. 288).
Infrastructure as a failure factor gives Mom plenty of problems.
Infrastructural need seems to be an important criterion for judging
the capacity of a car to develop (p. 291). We also get the
information that many believe that the expansion of the road networks
before and after the First World War were crucial for the success of
the automobile (p. 292). But, this is too simple for Mom. The
relationship is not at all clear-cut. It was trucks that needed
better roads, not cars. The electric car didn't lose the battle
because of benefiting less from inter-city roads.
Finally on the issue on how the technology of electric vehicles
interacted with the technology of gasoline cars Mom launches the idea
that gasoline cars gained more from this interaction than electric
cars. It is impossible to tell if this is a correct assessment. He
points at different technology transfers but his list is far from
conclusive and convincing. He presents a picture in which the
gasoline car internalized all the advantages of the electric car
without asking himself why the electric car entrepreneurs didn't
retaliate by internalizing all the advantages of the gasoline car.
Despite all its pitfalls, Mom's book leaves very little to fantasize
about for electric vehicle enthusiasts. There was no missed
opportunity in the early days of the automobile, the electric vehicle
disappeared from most usage areas because at the time and given
existing preferences it represented an inferior technology to the
gasoline car. It is possible that a new take on the electric vehicle
question could include co-evolutionary aspects of automobile
development. One critical issue would be whether most of a rapidly
advancing capitalistic society's mobility needs could have been met
with another mix of modes of transport. One possible solution could
have been more trains and buses for longer distances and electric
vehicles for shorter distances. What consumers give up in such a
transport system is privacy and flexibility -- things that are highly
valued by many consumers.
Staffan Hultén is Associate Professor in the Department of Marketing
and Strategy at the Stockholm School of Economics. His recent
publications include "Historical School and Institutionalism,"
_Journal of Economic Studies_, 2005; "Predatory Bidding in
Competitive Tenders: A Swedish Case Study," _European Journal of Law
and Economics_, 2006 (with Gunnar Alexandersson) and "High and Low
Bids in Tenders: Strategic Pricing and Other Bidding Behaviour in
Public Tenders of Passenger Railway Services," _Annals of Public and
Cooperative Economics_, in press (with Gunnar Alexandersson).
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