EH.Net Abstracts in Economic History

AEH: EUR.MONEY: Betting on Hitler--The Value of Political Connections in Nazi Germany

Hans-Joachim Voth (voth at mit.edu)

Thu Apr 21 09:47:51 EDT 2005

                ABSTRACTS IN ECONOMIC HISTORY
                     (c) 2005 EH.Net
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Name:  Hans-Joachim Voth
Email:  voth at mit.edu
Institution:  Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Co-author:  Thomas Ferguson (U Mass)

Title:  Betting on Hitler - The Value of Political Connections in Nazi Germany

Internet Address of abstracted work: 
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=651984

By mail:
Economics Department
UPF
c/Ramon Trias Fargas 25-27
Barcelona-Spain

Language:  English

Abstract:
We examine the effect of close links with the NSDAP on the stock 
price of listed firms in 1932-33. While earlier work had primarily 
analysed the connections between executives and the Nazi party, we 
also look at supervisory board membership - the importance of which 
is hard to overestimate in the case of German industry. One 
implication of our work is that, weighted by stock market 
capitalization in 1932, more than half of listed firms on the Berlin 
stock exchange had substantive links with the NSDAP. Crucially, stock 
market investors recognized the value of these links, sending the 
share prices of connected firms up once the new regime was firmly 
established. While all firms including unaffiliated ones saw a rise 
in their stock prices after Hitler's seizure of power, those with 
board members known to favor the party (or backing it financially) 
outperformed the market by 6 to 9 percent between January and May 
1933. We show that this finding is robust to a range of additional 
control variables and alternative estimation techniques.

Bibliography: Voth, Hans-Joachim and Thomas Ferguson. "Betting on 
Hitler - The Value of Political Connections in Nazi Germany." SSRN 
working paper, 2005.

Subject:  H
Geographical Area:  4
Country/Region:  Germany
Time Period:  8

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