Thu Sep 26 12:03:24 EDT 1996
EHS Abstract Submission
(c) 1996 EH.Net
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Name: Dora L. Costa
Email: costa at mit.edu
Institution: MIT
Co-author: None
Title: The Changing Dynamics of Unemployment:
Evidence from Civil War Pension Records
Internet Address
of abstracted work: Not available on the Internet
By mail:
Dora L. Costa
Department of Economics, E52-274C
MIT
Cambridge, MA 02139
Language: English
Abstract:
I investigate why workers' probability of leaving unemployment
has fallen since 1900 by estimating the impact of a large
government transfer, the first major pension program in the
United States, covering Union Army veterans of the Civil War. I
find that pensions exerted a large impact on the probability of
long-term, but not short-term, unemployment. Although pensions
affected the probability of both entering and exiting
unemployment, pensions mainly lowered the probability of leaving
unemployment. The findings suggest that the secular increase in
wealth is an important explanation for the secular rise in
long-term unemployment.
Bibliography: Unpublished MS, MIT
Subject: T
Geographical Area: 7
Country/Region: USA
Time Period: 8